Putting Up Numbers· college football

California @ Syracuse

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

California 21, Syracuse 18Syracuse was favored by 4, and California covered.

California at Syracuse: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCalifornia1 gameSyracuse1 game
Points−5.0−16.8
Points allowed−13.2+1.3
Total offense, yards−125+25
Total defense, yards+19−96
Touchdowns−1.4−2.4
Passer rating−7.3−49.4
Third downs−14.3%−0.3%
Sacks+1.1−1.3
Penalty yards+28.2+49.6
Turnovers forced+1.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2+1.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Syracuse

California

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Syracuse had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • California had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at SyracuseCalifornia 21, Syracuse 18
Nov 16, 2024at CaliforniaSyracuse 33, California 25
Oct 26, 1968at CaliforniaCalifornia 43, Syracuse 0
Oct 21, 1967at SyracuseSyracuse 20, California 14

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.