Putting Up Numbers· college football

Arizona State @ Texas A&M

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Unranked at No. 10

Texas A&M 48, Arizona State 20Texas A&M was favored by 15, and Texas A&M covered.

Arizona State at Texas A&M: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameArizona State1 gameTexas A&M1 game
Points−0.3+17.6
Points allowed+21.8−5.4
Total offense, yards+36−141
Total defense, yards−110+5
Touchdowns−0.6+0.6
Passer rating−2.9+10.2
Third downs−10.2%−14.2%
Sacks+0.2−2.0
Penalty yards+7.4−45.7
Turnovers forced−0.2+2.8
Turnovers lost+2.8−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Texas A&M

Arizona State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Texas A&M

  • Texas A&M’s pass attempts were 11.0 lower in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 131st of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 8.5 under expected.
  • Texas A&M had beaten 9 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.

The series

  • Texas A&M leads the series 2–0 since 2015. Texas A&M has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Texas A&M had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Texas A&M had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at Texas A&MTexas A&M 48, Arizona State 20
Sep 5, 2015neutralTexas A&M 38, Arizona State 17

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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