Putting Up Numbers· college football

Alabama @ Kentucky

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · No. 12 at unranked

Alabama 45, Kentucky 17Alabama was favored by 9, and Alabama covered.

Alabama at Kentucky: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAlabama1 gameKentucky1 game
Points+22.6−10.0
Points allowed−15.3+15.6
Total offense, yards−21−167
Total defense, yards−195−38
Touchdowns+1.3−1.9
Passer rating+5.3−38.4
Third downs+3.9%−31.4%
Sacks+2.1+1.5
Penalty yards−9.2+14.0
Turnovers forced+1.7+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.6+1.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Kentucky

Alabama

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Kentucky

  • Kentucky’s passing yards were 89.8 higher vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 76 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 96.4 under expected.

Alabama

  • Alabama had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Alabama had beaten 7 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.

The series

  • Alabama leads the series 40–2–1 since 1917. Alabama has won the last 9.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Alabama had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at KentuckyAlabama 45, Kentucky 17
Nov 11, 2023at KentuckyAlabama 49, Kentucky 21
Nov 21, 2020at AlabamaAlabama 63, Kentucky 3
Oct 1, 2016at AlabamaAlabama 34, Kentucky 6
Oct 12, 2013at KentuckyAlabama 48, Kentucky 7
Oct 3, 2009at KentuckyAlabama 38, Kentucky 20
Oct 4, 2008at AlabamaAlabama 17, Kentucky 14
Oct 9, 2004at KentuckyAlabama 45, Kentucky 17
Sep 13, 2003at AlabamaAlabama 27, Kentucky 17
Oct 4, 1997at KentuckyKentucky 40, Alabama 34

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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