Putting Up Numbers· college football

SMU @ Florida State

Mon, Sep 7, 2026 · No. 19 at unranked

SMU 27, Florida State 24SMU was favored by 3, and the game pushed.

SMU at Florida State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSMU1 gameFlorida State1 game
Points−0.4−3.1
Points allowed−6.1−1.9
Total offense, yards+191−33
Total defense, yards−91+186
Touchdowns−0.4−0.1
Passer rating+51.6−24.6
Third downs+19.0%−23.7%
Sacks+0.5−2.0
Penalty yards−9.8−33.5
Turnovers forced−0.2+2.8
Turnovers lost+2.9−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Florida State

SMU

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

SMU

  • SMU had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • SMU leads the series 2–0 since 2024. SMU has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Florida State had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Florida State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Florida State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • SMU had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 7, 2026at Florida StateSMU 27, Florida State 24
Sep 28, 2024at SMUSMU 42, Florida State 16

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 6, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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