Putting Up Numbers· college football

Tulane @ Duke

Sat, Sep 5, 2026

Duke 17, Tulane 3Duke was favored by 8.5, and Duke covered.

Tulane at Duke: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTulane1 gameDuke1 game
Points−15.3−13.2
Points allowed−14.7−18.8
Total offense, yards−69−40
Total defense, yards−32−83
Touchdowns−2.2−1.5
Passer rating−15.9−49.2
Third downs−13.3%+0.7%
Sacks−1.1+0.8
Penalty yards+48.5−0.4
Turnovers forced−0.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.3−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Duke

Tulane

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Duke

Tulane

  • Tulane had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Duke leads the series 4–3 since 1964. Duke has won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Duke had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Tulane had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Tulane had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at DukeDuke 17, Tulane 3
Sep 13, 2025at TulaneTulane 34, Duke 27
Sep 3, 2015at TulaneDuke 37, Tulane 7
Sep 20, 2014at DukeDuke 47, Tulane 13
Sep 24, 2011at DukeDuke 48, Tulane 27
Oct 13, 1973at DukeTulane 24, Duke 17
Nov 28, 1964at TulaneTulane 17, Duke 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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