Putting Up Numbers· college football

Liberty @ James Madison

Sat, Sep 5, 2026

James Madison 20, Liberty 13James Madison was favored by 6, and James Madison covered.

Liberty at James Madison: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLiberty1 gameJames Madison1 game
Points−7.9−0.7
Points allowed−16.3−16.0
Total offense, yards−32−39
Total defense, yards−153−51
Touchdowns−1.4−0.2
Passer rating+19.2+11.9
Third downs+6.5%+5.3%
Sacks−1.5−0.8
Penalty yards+23.7+17.0
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

James Madison

Liberty

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

James Madison

  • James Madison had beaten 11 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 12.
  • James Madison had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.

Liberty

  • Liberty had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Liberty had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

  • James Madison leads the series 2–0 since 2025. James Madison has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • James Madison had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • James Madison had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 5, 2026at James MadisonJames Madison 20, Liberty 13
Sep 20, 2025at LibertyJames Madison 31, Liberty 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 4, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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