Putting Up Numbers· college football

San Jose State @ USC

Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Unranked at No. 14

USC 42, San Jose State 26USC was favored by 37, and San Jose State covered.

San Jose State at USC: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSan Jose State1 gameUSC1 game
Points+2.1+16.3
Points allowed+12.1+8.1
Total offense, yards−10+122
Total defense, yards+101+4
Touchdowns+0.3+3.3
Passer rating+12.0+41.4
Third downs+9.0%+32.4%
Sacks+0.4−1.6
Penalty yards−38.9−22.1
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

USC

San Jose State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

USC

  • USC had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • USC had won 7 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 8.

San Jose State

  • San Jose State had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • San Jose State had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

  • USC leads the series 7–0 since 1995. USC has won the last 7.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • USC had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Aug 29, 2026at USCUSC 42, San Jose State 26
Aug 26, 2023at USCUSC 56, San Jose State 28
Sep 4, 2021at USCUSC 30, San Jose State 7
Sep 5, 2009at USCUSC 56, San Jose State 3
Sep 1, 2001at USCUSC 21, San Jose State 10
Sep 23, 2000at USCUSC 34, San Jose State 24
Sep 9, 1995at USCUSC 45, San Jose State 7

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Aug 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.