Putting Up Numbers· college football

New Mexico State @ Florida State

Sat, Aug 29, 2026

Florida State 34, New Mexico State 17Florida State was favored by 30.5, and New Mexico State covered.

New Mexico State at Florida State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNew Mexico State1 gameFlorida State1 game
Points−11.4+5.6
Points allowed+4.8−2.9
Total offense, yards−102+49
Total defense, yards+19−18
Touchdowns−1.5+1.0
Passer rating−17.1−3.8
Third downs+20.8%+17.3%
Sacks−1.6+1.1
Penalty yards+12.0+7.0
Turnovers forced−0.2−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Florida State

New Mexico State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Florida State leads the series 2–0 since 1964. Florida State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Florida State had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • New Mexico State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Aug 29, 2026at Florida StateFlorida State 34, New Mexico State 17
Oct 3, 1964at Florida StateFlorida State 36, New Mexico State 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Aug 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.