Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Flames @ Sharks

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Flames 2, Sharks 1

Flames at Sharks: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFlames1 gameSharks1 game
Goals−1.27−2.30
Goals against−2.10−0.97
Shots−6.9−2.6
Shots against−1.0−5.4
Power-play goals−0.69−0.68
Power-play goals allowed−0.78−0.70
Penalty minutes−5.5−3.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Sharks

Flames

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Flames

  • The Flames' goal differential was 1.10 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.09 over expected.
  • The Flames had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • The Flames lead the series 89–71–8 since 1991-92. The Flames have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a division opponent, the Sharks' shots were 6.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 under expected.
  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Sharks' shots were 6.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 under expected.
  • At home, the Sharks' goals were 0.72 under expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.14 under expected.
  • On the road, the Flames' penalty minutes were 6.1 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.7 under expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Flames' goal differential was 1.96 under expected in 8 games. 8 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.09 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 2, 2026at SharksFlames 2, Sharks 1
Feb 26, 2026at SharksFlames 4, Sharks 1
Jan 31, 2026at FlamesFlames 3, Sharks 2
Dec 16, 2025at SharksSharks 6, Flames 3
Nov 13, 2025at FlamesFlames 2, Sharks 0
Apr 13, 2025at FlamesFlames 5, Sharks 2
Apr 7, 2025at SharksFlames 3, Sharks 2
Feb 23, 2025at FlamesFlames 3, Sharks 2
Dec 28, 2024at SharksFlames 3, Sharks 1
Apr 18, 2024at FlamesFlames 5, Sharks 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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