Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Jets @ Lightning

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

Lightning 6, Jets 4

Jets at Lightning: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJets1 gameLightning1 game
Goals+0.83+2.73
Goals against+2.69+1.04
Shots−4.2+2.0
Shots against+1.3−6.2
Power-play goals−0.69+0.20
Power-play goals allowed+0.32−0.65
Penalty minutes−3.6−5.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lightning

Jets

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lightning

  • The Lightning had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.

Jets

  • The Jets had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.

The series

  • The Lightning lead the series 55–52–4 since 1992-93. The Lightning have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Lightning had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Lightning's goals against were 1.42 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.97 over expected.
  • On the road, the Jets' shots against were 4.4 over expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 29, 2026at LightningLightning 6, Jets 4
Mar 5, 2026at JetsJets 4, Lightning 1
Jan 29, 2026at LightningLightning 4, Jets 1
Nov 14, 2024at LightningLightning 4, Jets 1
Nov 3, 2024at JetsJets 7, Lightning 4
Jan 2, 2024at JetsJets 4, Lightning 2
Nov 22, 2023at LightningJets 3, Lightning 2
Mar 12, 2023at LightningJets 3, Lightning 2
Jan 6, 2023at JetsJets 4, Lightning 2
Apr 16, 2022at LightningLightning 7, Jets 4

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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