Islanders @ Wild

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

Islanders 4, Wild 3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Wild lead the series 22–16 since 2000-01. The Islanders have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

The Wild had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Against a team over .500, the Wild's penalty minutes were 6.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 under expected.
At home, the Wild's power-play goals were 0.48 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.74 under expected.
On the road, the Islanders' shots were 3.6 under expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.