Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Canadiens @ Jets

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Canadiens 2, Jets 1

Canadiens at Jets: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCanadiens1 gameJets1 game
Goals−1.28−2.24
Goals against−2.06−1.25
Shots−7.3+5.4
Shots against+6.1−5.9
Power-play goals−0.78−0.75
Power-play goals allowed−0.68−0.61
Penalty minutes−1.4−9.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Jets

Canadiens

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Jets

  • The Jets had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

  • The Canadiens lead the series 85–43–7 since 1979-80. The Canadiens have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Jets' shots were 5.5 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.5 over expected.
  • On the road, the Canadiens' goals were 0.76 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.29 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at JetsCanadiens 2, Jets 1
Feb 4, 2026at JetsCanadiens 5, Jets 1
Dec 3, 2025at CanadiensCanadiens 3, Jets 2
Jan 28, 2025at CanadiensJets 4, Canadiens 1
Dec 14, 2024at JetsJets 4, Canadiens 2
Dec 18, 2023at JetsCanadiens 3, Jets 2
Oct 28, 2023at CanadiensCanadiens 4, Jets 3
Jan 17, 2023at CanadiensCanadiens 4, Jets 1
Nov 3, 2022at JetsJets 3, Canadiens 2
Apr 11, 2022at CanadiensJets 4, Canadiens 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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