Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Jets @ Stars

Thu, Oct 22, 2026

Stars 3, Jets 2

Jets at Stars: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJets1 gameStars1 game
Goals−1.01−0.32
Goals against−0.16−0.97
Shots−4.8+9.3
Shots against+12.1−8.3
Power-play goals−0.60−0.81
Power-play goals allowed−0.69−0.64
Penalty minutes−3.3+0.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Stars

Jets

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The Stars lead the series 74–56–5 since 1979-80. The Stars have won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a division opponent, the Stars' goals were 1.19 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.21 under expected.
  • At home, the Stars' goals against were 0.82 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.91 under expected.
  • On the road, the Jets' shots were 4.7 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.8 under expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Jets' goals against were 0.78 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.21 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 22, 2026at StarsStars 3, Jets 2
Apr 2, 2026at StarsStars 3, Jets 0
Feb 2, 2026at StarsStars 4, Jets 3
Dec 9, 2025at JetsStars 4, Jets 3
Oct 9, 2025at JetsStars 5, Jets 4
May 17, 2025at StarsStars 2, Jets 1
May 15, 2025at JetsJets 4, Stars 0
May 13, 2025at StarsStars 3, Jets 1
May 11, 2025at StarsStars 5, Jets 2
May 9, 2025at JetsJets 4, Stars 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 21, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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