Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Panthers @ Senators

Wed, Oct 21, 2026

Senators 5, Panthers 1

Panthers at Senators: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePanthers1 gameSenators1 game
Goals−2.20+1.86
Goals against+1.79−2.19
Shots−8.0+4.2
Shots against+3.4−9.1
Power-play goals+0.22+0.29
Power-play goals allowed+0.34+0.20
Penalty minutes+34.0+30.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Senators

Panthers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Panthers

  • The Panthers' shots were 3.6 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 9.3 under expected.

The series

  • The Senators lead the series 61–57–3 since 1993-94. The Senators have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Senators had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Senators' shots were 6.7 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 over expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Senators' penalty minutes were 5.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.5 over expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Panthers' power-play goals were 1.15 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.16 over expected.
  • On the road, the Panthers' power-play goals were 0.37 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.16 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 21, 2026at SenatorsSenators 5, Panthers 1
Apr 9, 2026at SenatorsSenators 5, Panthers 1
Mar 31, 2026at PanthersPanthers 6, Senators 3
Jan 10, 2026at SenatorsPanthers 3, Senators 2
Oct 11, 2025at PanthersPanthers 6, Senators 2
Apr 5, 2025at SenatorsSenators 3, Panthers 0
Feb 8, 2025at PanthersPanthers 5, Senators 1
Oct 10, 2024at SenatorsSenators 3, Panthers 1
Apr 9, 2024at PanthersPanthers 2, Senators 0
Apr 4, 2024at SenatorsPanthers 6, Senators 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 20, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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