The Rams' sacks taken vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division
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Through the Rams' game on Sep 10, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Rams were 1.5 sacks under vs a division opponent and 0.1 sacks under vs a team outside the division over their last 35 games, 12 games against 23. The plain averages are 0.6 and 1.9, a difference of 1.3. Both games after a bye were vs a team outside the division.
The Rams' −1.4 vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division over expected ranks 32nd of the 32 teams with 4 games on each side over their last 35 games through Sep 10, 2026.
sacks taken a game over expected
A −1.4 difference in sacks taken over expected vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division is rare: shuffle which games were vs a division opponent and it comes up less than once in 100.
A −1.3 difference in sacks taken vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division is rare: shuffle which games were vs a division opponent and it comes up once in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | sacks taken | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | vs LV | W | 1 | 2.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2024 | vs MIN | W | 0 | 2.5 | |
| Nov 3, 2024 | @ SEA | W | 0 | 2.6 | |
| Nov 11, 2024 | vs MIA | L | 4 | 1.8 | |
| Nov 17, 2024 | @ NE | W | 0 | 1.9 | |
| Nov 24, 2024 | vs PHI | L | 5 | 2.3 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | @ NO | W | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | vs BUF | W | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 12, 2024 | @ SF | W | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | @ NYJ | W | 0 | 2.4 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs ARI | W | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | vsSEA | L | 3 | 2.4 | |
| Jan 13, 2025 | vsMIN (neutral) | W | 2 | 2.4 | |
| Jan 19, 2025 | @PHI | L | 5 | 2.3 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs HOU | W | 3 | 2.0 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 1 | 1.9 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @PHI | L | 1 | 2.0 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs IND | W | 3 | 1.6 | |
| Oct 2, 2025 | vsSF | L | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ BAL | W | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs JAX (neutral) | W | 0 | 1.5 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vsNO | W | 2 | 2.0 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @SF | W | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vsSEA | W | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs TB | W | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ CAR | L | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ARI | W | 0 | 1.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs DET | W | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @SEA | L | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ ATL | L | 3 | 2.4 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vsARI | W | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @CAR | W | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Jan 18, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 4 | 1.5 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @SEA | L | 1 | 2.3 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | vsSF (neutral) | L | 0 | 2.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 in 2024, plus 0.0 in 2025, plus 0.0 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 51% in 2024, 61% in 2025, 20% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Read against the season’s ratings as of Nov 2, 2026; the games are the ones through Sep 10.