The Rams' sacks taken vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Rams were 1.2 sacks under vs a division opponent and 0.2 sacks under vs a team outside the division over their last 35 games, 12 games against 23. The plain averages are 0.8 and 1.8, a difference of 0.9. All 3 games on a short week were vs a division opponent.
The Rams' −1.0 vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division over expected ranks 31st of the 32 teams with 4 games on each side over their last 35 games.
sacks taken a game over expected
A −1.0 difference in sacks taken over expected vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs a division opponent and it comes up 5 times in 100.
A −0.9 difference in sacks taken vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs a division opponent and it comes up 7 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | sacks taken | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | vs BUF | W | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 12, 2024 | @ SF | W | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | @ NYJ | W | 0 | 2.4 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs ARI | W | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 3 | 2.4 | |
| Jan 13, 2025 | vs MIN (neutral) | W | 2 | 2.4 | |
| Jan 19, 2025 | @ PHI | L | 5 | 2.3 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs HOU | W | 3 | 2.0 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 1 | 1.9 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @PHI | L | 1 | 2.0 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs IND | W | 3 | 1.6 | |
| Oct 2, 2025 | vsSF | L | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ BAL | W | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs JAX (neutral) | W | 0 | 1.5 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs NO | W | 2 | 2.0 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @SF | W | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vsSEA | W | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs TB | W | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ CAR | L | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ARI | W | 0 | 1.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs DET | W | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @SEA | L | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ ATL | L | 3 | 2.4 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vsARI | W | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @CAR | W | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Jan 18, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 4 | 1.5 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @SEA | L | 1 | 2.3 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | vsSF (neutral) | L | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs NYG | W | 1 | 2.0 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 4 | 2.3 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @PHI | W | 1 | 1.9 | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | vsBUF | L | 1 | 2.2 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vsARI | L | 3 | 2.1 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ LV | W | 1 | 2.2 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 1 | 2.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 in 2024, plus 0.0 in 2025, plus 0.0 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 51% in 2024, 61% in 2025, 20% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.