The Bills without Dalton Kincaid
without ,
The Bills are 6–1 with Dalton Kincaid this season and haven’t played a game without him yet. Since 2023, they’re 5–5 in the 10 games he missed and 41–14 with him.
, a game
This season
| Measure | With Dalton Kincaid7 games | Without0 games | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record | 6–1 | – | |
| Points, over expected | +7.9 | – | – |
| Passing yards, over expected | +13.5 | – | – |
| Against the line | +3.7 | – | – |
| Points allowed, over expected | +2.2 | – | – |
| Margin, over expected | +5.3 | – | – |
| Rushing yards, over expected | +24.3 | – | – |
| Pass attempts, over expected | −2.5 | – | – |
| Carries, over expected | +3.3 | – | – |
| Sacks taken, over expected | −0.4 | – | – |
| Turnovers, over expected | +0.3 | – | – |
Last 35 games
| Measure | With Dalton Kincaid27 games | Without8 games | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record | 22–5 | 3–5 | |
| Points, over expected | +5.0 | −0.8 | +5.8 |
| Passing yards, over expected | +8.5 | −12.4 | +20.9 |
| Against the line | +2.8 | −0.3 | +3.1 |
| Points allowed, over expected | +1.1 | −0.5 | +1.6 |
| Margin, over expected | +3.3 | −0.9 | +4.2 |
| Rushing yards, over expected | +26.3 | +11.2 | +15.1 |
| Pass attempts, over expected | −1.7 | −1.6 | 0.0 |
| Carries, over expected | +3.8 | +0.8 | +3.0 |
| Sacks taken, over expected | −0.4 | −0.1 | −0.3 |
| Turnovers, over expected | −0.2 | +0.3 | −0.5 |
His teammates without him
Last 35 games
| Measure | With Dalton Kincaid | Without | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook, RB | |||
| Rushing yards | 94.5 | 78.0 | +16.5 |
| Carries | 17.7 | 16.5 | +1.2 |
| Josh Allen, QB | |||
| Passing yards | 240.6 | 235.9 | +4.7 |
| Pass attempts | 29.6 | 30.3 | −0.6 |
| Khalil Shakir, WR | |||
| Receiving yards | 50.7 | 48.3 | +2.4 |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.5 | +0.5 |
| Dawson Knox, TE | |||
| Receiving yards | 20.6 | 27.3 | −6.6 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.5 | −0.7 |
| Ty Johnson, RB | |||
| Rushing yards | 13.1 | 11.1 | +2.0 |
| Carries | 3.1 | 2.6 | +0.5 |
Method
- With him is a game he played, from the snap counts; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
- Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers.
- Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from nflverse’s schedules. A game with no line sits out.
- His teammates’ numbers are plain averages a game.
- Why he’s out: the NFL’s week 8 injury report.