Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Bears @ Seahawks

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Bears 34, Seahawks 17The Seahawks were favored by 3, and the Bears covered.

Bears at Seahawks: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBears1 gameSeahawks1 game
Points+11.9−5.7
Points allowed−6.4+10.4
Total offense, yards+52−74
Total defense, yards−85+3
Passing yards+16−46
Rushing yards+18−27
Yards an attempt+0.6−1.9
Sacks taken−1.3+0.7
Turnovers−0.1−0.2
Turnovers forced−0.4−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Seahawks

Bears

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Seahawks

  • The Seahawks were 1.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 12th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−20.0 against the line this game.

Bears

  • The Bears’ points allowed were 10.6 lower at home than away against expected over their last 35 games, 32nd of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 6.2 under expected.
  • The Bears were 3.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 7th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+20.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • The Seahawks had won 9 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Seahawks had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • The Seahawks were 2–3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, the Seahawks’ pass attempts were 8.0 under expected in 4 games. A −16.8 difference in pass attempts over expected at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 3 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 2.7 over expected.
  • The Bears had covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, the Bears’ turnovers were 1.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 2, 2026at SeahawksBears 34, Seahawks 17
Dec 26, 2024at BearsSeahawks 6, Bears 3
Dec 26, 2021at SeahawksBears 25, Seahawks 24
Sep 17, 2018at BearsBears 24, Seahawks 17
Sep 27, 2015at SeahawksSeahawks 26, Bears 0
Dec 2, 2012at BearsSeahawks 23, Bears 17
Dec 18, 2011at BearsSeahawks 38, Bears 14
Jan 16, 2011at BearsBears 35, Seahawks 24
Oct 17, 2010at BearsSeahawks 23, Bears 20
Sep 27, 2009at SeahawksBears 25, Seahawks 19

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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