Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Broncos @ Cardinals

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Broncos 30, Cardinals 16The Broncos were favored by 4.5, and the Broncos covered.

Broncos at Cardinals: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBroncos1 gameCardinals1 game
Points+6.0−6.9
Points allowed−7.1+7.8
Total offense, yards+33+11
Total defense, yards+18+68
Passing yards−12+38
Rushing yards+46−23
Yards an attempt+0.2−1.3
Sacks taken−1.3+0.7
Turnovers−1.3−1.2
Turnovers forced−1.2−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Cardinals

Broncos

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Cardinals

  • The Cardinals were 2.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 26th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−9.5 against the line this game.

Broncos

  • The Broncos had covered 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • The Broncos were 1.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 22nd of 32, and 10.1 worse away than at home over their last 35, 32nd of 32.fact · rankedits form →+9.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Broncos lead the series 11–1–1 since 1973. The Broncos have won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Cardinals had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • The Cardinals had failed to cover 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Cardinals were 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, the Cardinals' points of margin were 22.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.8 under expected.
  • The Broncos had covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Broncos had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, the Broncos' points were 7.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at CardinalsBroncos 30, Cardinals 16
Dec 18, 2022at BroncosBroncos 24, Cardinals 15
Oct 18, 2018at CardinalsBroncos 45, Cardinals 10
Oct 5, 2014at BroncosBroncos 41, Cardinals 20
Dec 12, 2010at CardinalsCardinals 43, Broncos 13
Dec 17, 2006at CardinalsBroncos 37, Cardinals 20
Dec 29, 2002at BroncosBroncos 37, Cardinals 7
Sep 23, 2001at CardinalsBroncos 38, Cardinals 17
Nov 5, 1995at BroncosBroncos 38, Cardinals 6
Dec 15, 1991at BroncosBroncos 24, Cardinals 19

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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