49ers @
Seahawks
49ers 32, Seahawks 29The Seahawks were favored by 3, and the 49ers covered.
| a game | 49ers1 game | Seahawks1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +9.8 | +6.6 |
| Points allowed | +6.0 | +7.9 |
| Total offense, yards | −41 | −56 |
| Total defense, yards | −69 | −81 |
| Passing yards | −43 | −39 |
| Rushing yards | −15 | −20 |
| Yards an attempt | −0.2 | −0.3 |
| Sacks taken | +0.7 | +2.8 |
| Turnovers | +1.8 | +2.5 |
| Turnovers forced | +2.7 | +1.8 |
Who put up numbers
Seahawks
- Passing yardsSam Darnold195 passing yards
- Passing TDsSam Darnold1 passing TD
- Rushing yardsEmanuel Wilson61 rushing yards
49ers
Analysis
Seahawks
- The Seahawks' carries were 6.7 higher vs a division opponent than vs a team outside the division against expected over their last 35 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.1 under expected.
- The Seahawks had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- The Seahawks were 2.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 10th of 32, and 5.9 worse at home than away over their last 35, 31st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−6.0 against the line this game.
49ers
- The 49ers had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- The 49ers were 9.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 4th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+6.0 against the line this game.
The series
- The Seahawks lead the series 33–25 since 1976.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- The Seahawks had won 9 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- The Seahawks were 1–1–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- Against a division opponent, the Seahawks' points allowed were 16.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.3 over expected.
- At home, the Seahawks' pass attempts were 9.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.6 under expected.
- The 49ers had covered 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- The 49ers had won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against a division opponent, the 49ers' rushing yards were 40.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.6 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | at Seahawks | 49ers 32, Seahawks 29 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | at Seahawks | Seahawks 41, 49ers 6 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | at 49ers | Seahawks 13, 49ers 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | at Seahawks | 49ers 17, Seahawks 13 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | at 49ers | Seahawks 20, 49ers 17 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | at Seahawks | 49ers 36, Seahawks 24 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | at 49ers | 49ers 28, Seahawks 16 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | at Seahawks | 49ers 31, Seahawks 13 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | at 49ers | 49ers 41, Seahawks 23 |
| Dec 15, 2022 | at Seahawks | 49ers 21, Seahawks 13 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 10, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- A game with no box score sits out.