Putting Up Numbers· NBA

The Wizards’ free throw attempts at home and away

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Through the Wizards’ game on Nov 2, 2026.

Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Wizards were 1.1 free throw attempts over at home and 1.7 free throw attempts under away over their last 165 games, 80 games against 85. The plain averages are 22.7 and 19.6, a difference of 3.1.

The Wizards’ +2.8 at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 30 teams with 10 games on each side over their last 165 games through Nov 2, 2026.

free throw attempts a game over expected

A +2.8 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

A +3.1 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

The games

at homeaway
Washington Wizards’ games, last 165 games, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultfree throw attemptsExpected
Nov 8, 2024@MEML2322.9
Nov 10, 2024@ORLL2522.3
Nov 11, 2024@HOUL1320.5
Nov 13, 2024@SASL1618.2
Nov 15, 2024@ATLL2121.6
Nov 17, 2024vsDETL2023.1
Nov 18, 2024@NYKL1620.0
Nov 22, 2024vsBOSL1618.4
Nov 24, 2024@INDL2522.2
Nov 26, 2024vsCHIL3120.6
Nov 27, 2024vsLACL2220.1
Nov 30, 2024@MILL2419.6
Dec 3, 2024@CLEL2520.2
Dec 5, 2024vsDALL1520.5
Dec 7, 2024vsDENW2220.3
Dec 8, 2024vsMEML2223.1
Dec 13, 2024@CLEL1120.5
Dec 15, 2024vsBOSL818.5
Dec 19, 2024vsCHAW3120.5
Dec 21, 2024@MILL1619.7
Dec 23, 2024@OKCL2022.2
Dec 26, 2024vsCHAW2820.6
Dec 28, 2024vsNYKL1520.2
Dec 30, 2024vsNYKL2220.1
Jan 1, 2025vsCHIW1221.0
Jan 3, 2025@NOPL2720.7
Jan 5, 2025vsNOPL1421.1
Jan 7, 2025vsHOUL2020.6
Jan 8, 2025@PHIL920.8
Jan 10, 2025@CHIL1320.7
Jan 12, 2025vsOKCL3322.2
Jan 13, 2025vsMINL1520.2
Jan 16, 2025vsPHXL2720.8
Jan 18, 2025@GSWL2320.6
Jan 19, 2025@SACL3221.0
Jan 21, 2025@LALL1320.1
Jan 23, 2025@LACL2119.9
Jan 25, 2025@PHXL920.9
Jan 27, 2025@DALL1720.3
Jan 29, 2025vsTORL2923.7
Jan 30, 2025vsLALL3419.9
Feb 1, 2025@MINW1720.0
Feb 3, 2025@CHAW2320.5
Feb 5, 2025@BKNW1422.4
Feb 7, 2025vsCLEL2520.5
Feb 8, 2025vsATLL2121.8
Feb 10, 2025vsSASL1918.4
Feb 12, 2025vsINDL1622.6
Feb 21, 2025vsMILL2719.7
Feb 23, 2025@ORLL2222.4
Feb 24, 2025vsBKNW2522.4
Feb 26, 2025vsPORL3321.3
Mar 1, 2025@CHAW1720.6
Mar 3, 2025@MIAL2217.8
Mar 5, 2025vsUTAW2921.4
Mar 8, 2025@TORW2323.6
Mar 10, 2025@TORL1523.7
Mar 11, 2025@DETL2022.9
Mar 13, 2025@DETW2722.7
Mar 15, 2025@DENW1720.2
Mar 17, 2025@PORL1221.5
Mar 19, 2025@UTAL1821.4
Mar 21, 2025vsORLL1922.6
Mar 22, 2025@NYKL1919.9
Mar 24, 2025vsTORL3423.6
Mar 26, 2025@PHIW1220.7
Mar 27, 2025vsINDL2622.4
Mar 29, 2025vsBKNL3322.2
Mar 31, 2025vsMIAL1818.1
Apr 2, 2025vsSACW1821.5
Apr 3, 2025vsORLL1122.8
Apr 6, 2025@BOSL1018.3
Apr 8, 2025@INDL1522.4
Apr 9, 2025vsPHIL3020.6
Apr 11, 2025@CHIL1220.8
Apr 13, 2025@MIAW1717.9
Oct 22, 2025@MILL1921.8
Oct 24, 2025@DALW2919.7
Oct 26, 2025vsCHAL2519.0
Oct 28, 2025vsPHIL2122.8
Oct 30, 2025@OKCL1719.8
Nov 1, 2025vsORLL1523.5
Nov 3, 2025@NYKL1920.8
Nov 5, 2025@BOSL2718.8
Nov 7, 2025vsCLEL2321.8
Nov 8, 2025vsDALL2320.4
Nov 10, 2025@DETL2624.7
Nov 12, 2025@HOUL1919.8
Nov 16, 2025vsBKNL2222.9
Nov 19, 2025@MINL1223.0
Nov 21, 2025@TORL2422.0
Nov 22, 2025@CHIL2020.8
Nov 25, 2025vsATLW2621.8
Nov 28, 2025@INDL2023.3
Dec 1, 2025vsMILW1522.4
Dec 2, 2025@PHIL3222.0
Dec 4, 2025vsBOSL2519.4
Dec 6, 2025vsATLL1922.0
Dec 12, 2025vsCLEL3221.6
Dec 14, 2025@INDW2623.1
Dec 18, 2025@SASL1419.2
Dec 20, 2025@MEMW2621.0
Dec 21, 2025vsSASL2419.5
Dec 23, 2025@CHAL2318.5
Dec 26, 2025vsTORW1822.6
Dec 28, 2025vsMEMW2521.6
Dec 29, 2025vsPHXL2121.5
Dec 31, 2025@MILW2021.8
Jan 2, 2026vsBKNW1623.0
Jan 4, 2026vsMINL1923.3
Jan 6, 2026vsORLW3323.2
Jan 7, 2026@PHIL1122.5
Jan 9, 2026vsNOPL3321.4
Jan 11, 2026@PHXL1821.1
Jan 14, 2026@LACL1719.5
Jan 16, 2026@SACL2121.7
Jan 17, 2026@DENL2920.5
Jan 19, 2026vsLACL2219.9
Jan 22, 2026vsDENL2421.1
Jan 24, 2026@CHAL918.8
Jan 27, 2026vsPORW2122.2
Jan 29, 2026vsMILW2822.2
Jan 30, 2026vsLALL1019.9
Feb 1, 2026vsSACW1522.4
Feb 3, 2026vsNYKL3221.1
Feb 5, 2026@DETW1824.8
Feb 7, 2026@BKNL3022.2
Feb 8, 2026vsMIAL1621.0
Feb 11, 2026@CLEL1821.3
Feb 19, 2026vsINDW2023.8
Feb 20, 2026vsINDW1923.8
Feb 22, 2026vsCHAL1719.1
Feb 24, 2026@ATLL1721.5
Feb 26, 2026@ATLL1621.5
Feb 28, 2026vsTORL2122.6
Mar 2, 2026vsHOUL1420.4
Mar 3, 2026@ORLL2522.8
Mar 5, 2026vsUTAL3224.0
Mar 8, 2026@NOPL2721.0
Mar 10, 2026@MIAL2920.2
Mar 12, 2026@ORLL2422.8
Mar 14, 2026@BOSL1719.0
Mar 16, 2026vsGSWL2919.7
Mar 17, 2026vsDETL1925.3
Mar 19, 2026vsDETL1225.5
Mar 21, 2026vsOKCL1820.3
Mar 22, 2026@NYKL1320.9
Mar 25, 2026@UTAW2423.7
Mar 27, 2026@GSWL1019.6
Mar 29, 2026@PORL2221.6
Mar 30, 2026@LALL1619.2
Apr 1, 2026vsPHIL1722.9
Apr 4, 2026@MIAL2420.3
Apr 5, 2026@BKNL2822.2
Apr 7, 2026vsCHIL2121.3
Apr 9, 2026vsCHIL2721.2
Apr 10, 2026vsMIAL1421.1
Apr 12, 2026@CLEL1921.3
Oct 21, 2026vsMILW4124.1
Oct 23, 2026vsTORL3527.3
Oct 24, 2026@CHIW2827.8
Oct 26, 2026@CHAL1525.4
Oct 28, 2026@CLEL1725.7
Oct 30, 2026vsCHAW3523.4
Nov 2, 2026@ORLW1826.7

Read next

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 in 2024-25, plus 0.3 in 2025-26, plus 0.4 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 77% in 2024-25, 86% in 2025-26, 33% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 15 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Read against the season’s ratings as of Nov 2, 2026; the games are the ones through Nov 2.