Suns @ Warriors

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Warriors 116, Suns 113

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Suns lead the series 165–123 since 1968-69. The Warriors have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

At home, the Warriors' 3-pointers made were 5.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 under expected.
On a back-to-back, the Warriors' points allowed were 19.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4 under expected.
Against a division opponent, the Warriors' free throw attempts were 4.9 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.2 over expected.
The Suns had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Against a division opponent, the Suns' points were 19.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4 under expected.
On the road, the Suns' points of margin were 22.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.4 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.