Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Heat @ Warriors

Thu, Nov 5 · Chase Center

No line yet.

Heat at Warriors: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameHeat7 gamesWarriors8 games
+6.7+3.2
+11.30.0
−1.9−0.3
+2.7+0.5
+0.3+2.9
+1.4+1.3
−0.5+0.2
+0.1+1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Warriors

  • The Warriors have won 5 straight, tied for the longest active winning streak in the NBA.streakthe runs →

The series

If you squint

  • At home, the Warriors’ 3-pointers made are 3.8 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, the Heat’s 3-point attempts are 4.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Jan 19, 2026at WarriorsWarriors 135, Heat 112
Nov 19, 2025at HeatHeat 110, Warriors 96
Mar 25, 2025at HeatHeat 112, Warriors 86
Jan 7, 2025at WarriorsHeat 114, Warriors 98
Mar 26, 2024at HeatWarriors 113, Heat 92
Dec 28, 2023at WarriorsHeat 114, Warriors 102
Nov 1, 2022at HeatHeat 116, Warriors 109
Oct 27, 2022at WarriorsWarriors 123, Heat 110
Mar 23, 2022at HeatWarriors 118, Heat 104
Jan 3, 2022at WarriorsWarriors 115, Heat 108

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next