Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Lakers @ Warriors

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

Warriors 112, Lakers 95

Lakers at Warriors: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLakers1 gameWarriors1 game
Points−20.2−2.2
Points allowed−3.6−22.7
Rebounds+1.7+0.5
Assists−8.5+4.7
3-pointers made−2.1+8.9
Free throw attempts−0.7−10.4
Turnovers+4.5−1.5
Turnovers forced−0.5+4.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Warriors

Lakers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • The Warriors had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Warriors' points of margin were 21.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.4 over expected.
  • At home, the Warriors' turnovers were 5.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.
  • On the road, the Lakers' assists were 8.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.3 under expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Lakers' 3-point attempts were 7.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.4 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 30, 2026at WarriorsWarriors 112, Lakers 95
Oct 21, 2026at LakersLakers 127, Warriors 105
Apr 9, 2026at WarriorsLakers 119, Warriors 103
Feb 28, 2026at WarriorsLakers 129, Warriors 101
Feb 7, 2026at LakersLakers 105, Warriors 99
Oct 21, 2025at LakersWarriors 119, Lakers 109
Apr 3, 2025at LakersWarriors 123, Lakers 116
Feb 6, 2025at LakersLakers 120, Warriors 112
Jan 25, 2025at WarriorsLakers 118, Warriors 108
Dec 25, 2024at WarriorsLakers 115, Warriors 113

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 29, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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