Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Pacers @ Heat

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

Heat 145, Pacers 125

Pacers at Heat: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gamePacers1 gameHeat1 game
Points+7.1+32.8
Points allowed+31.0+13.4
Rebounds−7.9+2.9
Assists+1.1+11.9
3-pointers made+2.6+4.7
Free throw attempts+3.8−2.3
Turnovers−2.6+0.8
Turnovers forced+1.0−2.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Heat

Pacers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The Pacers lead the series 89–78 since 1988-89. The Heat have won 3 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Heat's points of margin were 10.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.8 over expected.
  • The Pacers had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, the Pacers' points were 6.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.7 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 30, 2026at HeatHeat 145, Pacers 125
Mar 29, 2026at PacersPacers 135, Heat 118
Jan 10, 2026at PacersPacers 123, Heat 99
Dec 27, 2025at HeatHeat 142, Pacers 116
Feb 28, 2025at HeatHeat 125, Pacers 120
Jan 2, 2025at HeatPacers 128, Heat 115
Nov 17, 2024at PacersPacers 119, Heat 110
Nov 15, 2024at PacersHeat 124, Pacers 111
Apr 7, 2024at PacersPacers 117, Heat 115
Dec 2, 2023at HeatPacers 144, Heat 129

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 29, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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