Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Warriors @ Timberwolves

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Warriors 119, Timberwolves 114

Warriors at Timberwolves: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWarriors1 gameTimberwolves1 game
Points+10.0−0.6
Points allowed−2.1+4.4
Rebounds+9.0−1.5
Assists−0.7+4.6
3-pointers made−1.7+2.2
Free throw attempts+12.9+2.0
Turnovers+1.5−0.9
Turnovers forced−0.1+1.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Timberwolves

Warriors

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, the Timberwolves' turnovers were 7.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 under expected.
  • The Warriors had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, the Warriors' points allowed were 11.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 28, 2026at TimberwolvesWarriors 119, Timberwolves 114
Mar 13, 2026at WarriorsTimberwolves 127, Warriors 117
Jan 26, 2026at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 108, Warriors 83
Jan 25, 2026at TimberwolvesWarriors 111, Timberwolves 85
Dec 12, 2025at WarriorsTimberwolves 127, Warriors 120
May 14, 2025at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 121, Warriors 110
May 12, 2025at WarriorsTimberwolves 117, Warriors 110
May 10, 2025at WarriorsTimberwolves 102, Warriors 97
May 8, 2025at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 117, Warriors 93
May 6, 2025at TimberwolvesWarriors 99, Timberwolves 88

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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