Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Warriors @ Nuggets

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Warriors 134, Nuggets 114

Warriors at Nuggets: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWarriors1 gameNuggets1 game
Points+22.0−0.6
Points allowed−0.6+20.2
Rebounds+1.0−11.9
Assists+4.6+4.6
3-pointers made+9.1−3.0
Free throw attempts−1.9−2.2
Turnovers+1.6−5.2
Turnovers forced−4.5+1.7

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Nuggets

Warriors

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Warriors

  • The Warriors had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.

The series

If you squint

  • The Nuggets had won 9 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • At home, the Nuggets' 3-point attempts were 15.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.1 under expected.
  • On the road, the Warriors' points allowed were 15.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 26, 2026at NuggetsWarriors 134, Nuggets 114
Mar 29, 2026at NuggetsNuggets 116, Warriors 93
Feb 22, 2026at WarriorsWarriors 128, Nuggets 117
Nov 7, 2025at NuggetsNuggets 129, Warriors 104
Oct 23, 2025at WarriorsWarriors 137, Nuggets 131
Apr 4, 2025at WarriorsWarriors 118, Nuggets 104
Mar 17, 2025at WarriorsNuggets 114, Warriors 105
Dec 3, 2024at NuggetsNuggets 119, Warriors 115
Feb 25, 2024at WarriorsNuggets 119, Warriors 103
Jan 4, 2024at WarriorsNuggets 130, Warriors 127

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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