Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Mavericks @ Heat

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Mavericks 113, Heat 109

Mavericks at Heat: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameMavericks1 gameHeat1 game
Points−5.9−4.5
Points allowed−7.0+0.4
Rebounds+6.6−2.7
Assists+4.2−0.2
3-pointers made−0.6+0.8
Free throw attempts−10.0−0.7
Turnovers+0.6−0.7
Turnovers forced−1.1+1.0

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Heat

Mavericks

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The series is tied 46–46 since 1988-89. The Mavericks have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Heat's 3-point attempts were 5.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 over expected.
  • The Mavericks had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 26, 2026at HeatMavericks 113, Heat 109
Dec 3, 2025at MavericksMavericks 118, Heat 108
Nov 24, 2025at HeatHeat 106, Mavericks 102
Feb 13, 2025at MavericksMavericks 118, Heat 113
Nov 24, 2024at HeatHeat 123, Mavericks 118
Apr 10, 2024at HeatMavericks 111, Heat 92
Mar 7, 2024at MavericksMavericks 114, Heat 108
Apr 1, 2023at HeatHeat 129, Mavericks 122
Jan 20, 2023at MavericksMavericks 115, Heat 90
Feb 15, 2022at HeatMavericks 107, Heat 99

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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