
Borussia Dortmund
7–3–1 · Drew with Bayern Munich 2–2, Oct 31
Next: vs Real Betis, Wed, Nov 4 · analysis
Serhou Guirassy is 2 goals from passing Anthony Modeste for 5th in goals through the first 200 appearances of a Bundesliga career, 58 appearances to go.
Serhou Guirassy2 from passing Anthony Modeste for 5th through the first 200 appearances of a Bundesliga career, 58 appearances to go84goals
Against the closing odds
Borussia Dortmund has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.20 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.08 a game over, 47th of 110.
last 4
−0.20
before
+0.24
-101
Oct 17, 2026 @ 1. FC Union Berlin −1.20
Oct 20, 2026 @ Sabah FK −0.76
Oct 24, 2026 vs Eintracht Frankfurt −0.44
Oct 31, 2026 @ Bayern Munich +1.60
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 14, 2026 vs FC Augsburg +2
Mar 21, 2026 vs Hamburg SV +1
Apr 11, 2026 vs Bayer Leverkusen −1
Apr 26, 2026 vs SC Freiburg +4
May 8, 2026 vs Eintracht Frankfurt +1
Aug 29 vs Hamburg SV +2
Sep 8 vs Villarreal +1
Sep 12 vs SC Paderborn 07 +3
Oct 9 vs Werder Bremen 0
Oct 24 vs Eintracht Frankfurt +1
- Won 6 of its last 10count
Sep 5 @ TSG Hoffenheim +1
Sep 8 vs Villarreal +1
Sep 12 vs SC Paderborn 07 +3
Sep 19 @ VfB Stuttgart +1
Oct 9 vs Werder Bremen 0
Oct 14 @ Bodo/Glimt −1
Oct 17 @ 1. FC Union Berlin 0
Oct 20 @ Sabah FK +1
Oct 24 vs Eintracht Frankfurt +1
Oct 31 @ Bayern Munich 0
- Won 5 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Apr 4, 2026 @ VfB Stuttgart +2
Apr 18, 2026 @ TSG Hoffenheim −1
May 3, 2026 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach −1
May 16, 2026 @ Werder Bremen +2
Sep 5 @ TSG Hoffenheim +1
Sep 19 @ VfB Stuttgart +1
Oct 14 @ Bodo/Glimt −1
Oct 17 @ 1. FC Union Berlin 0
Oct 20 @ Sabah FK +1
Oct 31 @ Bayern Munich 0
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.01 · 44th | −0.74 · 6th |
| Expected goals | +0.11 · 31st | −0.44 · 9th |
| Shots | +0.3 · 43rd | −2.1 · 20th |
| Points | +0.77 · 10th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.