
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2–3 · Beat Hamburg SV 3–1, Nov 1
Next: at SC Paderborn 07, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Eintracht Frankfurt has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 1.08 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.75 a game under, 100th of 110.
last 4
−1.08
before
−0.31
-4-202
Sep 19, 2026 vs SC Freiburg −0.04
Oct 10, 2026 @ RB Leipzig −4.93
Oct 16, 2026 vs FC Cologne +0.20
Oct 24, 2026 @ Borussia Dortmund +0.44
Lately
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
May 8, 2026 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
May 16, 2026 vs VfB Stuttgart 0
Aug 29 @ 1. FC Union Berlin 0
Sep 6 vs FC Augsburg −3
Sep 12 @ Mainz +2
Sep 19 vs SC Freiburg 0
Oct 10 @ RB Leipzig −6
Oct 16 vs FC Cologne +1
Oct 24 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
Nov 1 vs Hamburg SV +2
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 1, 2026 vs SC Freiburg +2
Mar 14, 2026 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 +1
Apr 5, 2026 vs FC Cologne 0
Apr 18, 2026 vs RB Leipzig −2
May 2, 2026 vs Hamburg SV −1
May 16, 2026 vs VfB Stuttgart 0
Sep 6 vs FC Augsburg −3
Sep 19 vs SC Freiburg 0
Oct 16 vs FC Cologne +1
Nov 1 vs Hamburg SV +2
- Won 3 of its last 10count
May 8, 2026 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
May 16, 2026 vs VfB Stuttgart 0
Aug 29 @ 1. FC Union Berlin 0
Sep 6 vs FC Augsburg −3
Sep 12 @ Mainz +2
Sep 19 vs SC Freiburg 0
Oct 10 @ RB Leipzig −6
Oct 16 vs FC Cologne +1
Oct 24 @ Borussia Dortmund −1
Nov 1 vs Hamburg SV +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.02 · 45th | +0.64 · 84th |
| Expected goals | +0.03 · 38th | +0.45 · 86th |
| Shots | −0.6 · 53rd | +2.4 · 83rd |
| Points | 0.00 · 39th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.