
Hull City
2–5–2 · Drew with Ipswich Town 2–2, Oct 31
Next: at Arsenal, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Hull City has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.40 goals a game. Over the season it’s 1.05 a game over, 6th of 110.
last 4
+0.40
before
+1.57
0123
Oct 11, 2026 vs Everton +0.58
Oct 17, 2026 @ Fulham −0.05
Oct 25, 2026 vs Brentford +0.92
Oct 31, 2026 vs Ipswich Town +0.13
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 1, 2017 vs West Ham United +1
Apr 5, 2017 vs Middlesbrough +2
Apr 22, 2017 vs Watford +2
May 6, 2017 vs Sunderland −2
May 21, 2017 vs Tottenham Hotspur −6
Aug 22 vs Manchester United +2
Sep 5 vs Aston Villa 0
Oct 11 vs Everton 0
Oct 25 vs Brentford 0
Oct 31 vs Ipswich Town 0
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
May 21, 2017 vs Tottenham Hotspur −6
Aug 22 vs Manchester United +2
Aug 29 @ Coventry City +1
Sep 5 vs Aston Villa 0
Sep 12 @ Chelsea 0
Sep 19 @ Newcastle United −1
Oct 11 vs Everton 0
Oct 17 @ Fulham −1
Oct 25 vs Brentford 0
Oct 31 vs Ipswich Town 0
- Won 2 of its last 10count
May 21, 2017 vs Tottenham Hotspur −6
Aug 22 vs Manchester United +2
Aug 29 @ Coventry City +1
Sep 5 vs Aston Villa 0
Sep 12 @ Chelsea 0
Sep 19 @ Newcastle United −1
Oct 11 vs Everton 0
Oct 17 @ Fulham −1
Oct 25 vs Brentford 0
Oct 31 vs Ipswich Town 0
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.36 · 66th | −0.39 · 23rd |
| Expected goals | −0.61 · 92nd | +0.04 · 57th |
| Shots | −4.4 · 94th | +1.1 · 62nd |
| Points | −0.21 · 53rd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.