Aston Villa @ 
Galatasaray
No line yet.
| a game | Aston Villa12 games | Galatasaray3 games |
|---|---|---|
| +0.31 | +0.53 | |
| −0.34 | +0.83 | |
| −0.08 | −0.12 | |
| +0.09 | −0.10 | |
| −0.4 | −4.9 | |
| +1.1 | +0.2 | |
| +0.48 | −0.17 |
Analysis
If you squint
- At home, Galatasaray’s expected goals are 1.16 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
- In the Champions League, Aston Villa’s goals are 2.06 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
- On the road, Aston Villa’s points are 0.79 over expected in 5 games. A +0.95 difference in points over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- A game with no box score sits out.