Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Alavés @ Barcelona

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Barcelona 6, Alavés 1

Alavés at Barcelona: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAlavés1 gameBarcelona1 game
Goals−0.43+4.50
Goals conceded+2.83−0.34
Expected goals−0.39+1.27
Expected goals conceded+0.37−0.46
Shots−2.7−0.5
Shots conceded−6.8−5.7
Points−0.83+1.44

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Barcelona

Alavés

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Barcelona leads the series 17–2–4 since 2002-03. Barcelona has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Barcelona had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Barcelona had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Barcelona’s goals were 1.29 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.33 over expected.
  • At home, Barcelona’s shots were 4.9 over expected in 6 games. A +3.7 difference in shots over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 18 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 under expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Alavés’ shots conceded were 9.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.9 under expected.
  • On the road, Alavés’ goals were 0.75 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.20 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at BarcelonaBarcelona 6, Alavés 1
May 13, 2026at AlavésAlavés 1, Barcelona 0
Nov 29, 2025at BarcelonaBarcelona 3, Alavés 1
Feb 2, 2025at BarcelonaBarcelona 1, Alavés 0
Oct 6, 2024at AlavésBarcelona 3, Alavés 0
Feb 3, 2024at AlavésBarcelona 3, Alavés 1
Nov 12, 2023at BarcelonaBarcelona 2, Alavés 1
Jan 23, 2022at AlavésBarcelona 1, Alavés 0
Oct 30, 2021at BarcelonaBarcelona 1, Alavés 1
Feb 13, 2021at BarcelonaBarcelona 5, Alavés 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.