Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Bayer Leverkusen @ TSG Hoffenheim

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

TSG Hoffenheim 3, Bayer Leverkusen 0

Bayer Leverkusen at TSG Hoffenheim: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBayer Leverkusen1 gameTSG Hoffenheim1 game
Goals−1.74+1.26
Goals conceded+1.29−2.06
Expected goals−0.65+0.64
Expected goals conceded+0.57−1.24
Shots−4.5+6.4
Shots conceded+2.6−8.7
Points−1.63+1.68

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

TSG Hoffenheim

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Bayer Leverkusen leads the series 21–10–6 since 2008-09. TSG Hoffenheim has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, TSG Hoffenheim’s expected goals conceded were 0.43 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.05 under expected.
  • On the road, Bayer Leverkusen’s shots were 5.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.7 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 3, Bayer Leverkusen 0
Jan 17, 2026at TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim 1, Bayer Leverkusen 0
Aug 23, 2025at Bayer LeverkusenTSG Hoffenheim 2, Bayer Leverkusen 1
Feb 2, 2025at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 3, TSG Hoffenheim 1
Sep 14, 2024at TSG HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen 4, TSG Hoffenheim 1
Mar 30, 2024at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 2, TSG Hoffenheim 1
Nov 4, 2023at TSG HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen 3, TSG Hoffenheim 2
Feb 11, 2023at TSG HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen 3, TSG Hoffenheim 1
Aug 20, 2022at Bayer LeverkusenTSG Hoffenheim 3, Bayer Leverkusen 0
May 7, 2022at TSG HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen 4, TSG Hoffenheim 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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