Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Deportivo @ Atlético Madrid

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Atlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 0

Deportivo at Atlético Madrid: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameDeportivo1 gameAtlético Madrid1 game
Goals−1.28−0.58
Goals conceded−0.93−1.37
Expected goals+1.00+0.60
Expected goals conceded+0.44+0.97
Shots+3.2+6.2
Shots conceded+4.1+3.4
Points−0.90+1.57

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Atlético Madrid

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Atlético Madrid

  • Atlético Madrid’s expected goals were 0.54 higher at home than away against expected over its last 75 games, 3rd of 124 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 0.47 over expected.

The series

  • Atlético Madrid leads the series 19–6–4 since 2002-03. Atlético Madrid has won the last 3. Atlético Madrid has won 13 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Atlético Madrid had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • After a Champions League game, Atlético Madrid’s goals conceded were 1.39 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.02 under expected.
  • At home, Atlético Madrid’s shots conceded were 4.7 under expected in 5 games. A −4.2 difference in shots conceded over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 6.3 over expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Atlético Madrid’s expected goals conceded were 0.98 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.38 over expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Deportivo’s shots were 3.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 0
Apr 1, 2018at Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 0
Nov 4, 2017at DeportivoAtlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 0
Mar 2, 2017at DeportivoAtlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 1
Sep 25, 2016at Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 0
Mar 12, 2016at Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid 3, Deportivo 0
Oct 30, 2015at DeportivoAtlético Madrid 1, Deportivo 1
Apr 18, 2015at DeportivoAtlético Madrid 2, Deportivo 1
Nov 30, 2014at Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid 2, Deportivo 0
May 4, 2013at DeportivoAtlético Madrid 0, Deportivo 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.