Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Shakhtar Donetsk @ Internazionale

Wed, Oct 21, 2026

Internazionale 1, Shakhtar Donetsk 0

Shakhtar Donetsk at Internazionale: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameShakhtar Donetsk1 gameInternazionale1 game
Goals−1.52−0.47
Goals conceded−1.29−1.71
Expected goals−0.51−0.12
Expected goals conceded−1.33−0.02
Shots+0.2−0.2
Shots conceded−7.9+1.6
Points−1.00+1.92

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Internazionale

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Internazionale leads the series 2–0–3 since 2020-21. Internazionale has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Internazionale had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In the Champions League, Internazionale’s expected goals conceded were 1.24 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.15 under expected.
  • At home, Internazionale’s goals were 1.52 over expected in 5 games. A +1.41 difference in goals over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 11 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 1.11 under expected.
  • On the road, Shakhtar Donetsk’s yellow cards were 4.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.4 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 21, 2026at InternazionaleInternazionale 1, Shakhtar Donetsk 0
Nov 24, 2021at InternazionaleInternazionale 2, Shakhtar Donetsk 0
Sep 28, 2021at Shakhtar DonetskInternazionale 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0
Dec 9, 2020at InternazionaleInternazionale 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0
Oct 27, 2020at Shakhtar DonetskInternazionale 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 20, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.