Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Slovan Bratislava @ AS Roma

Tue, Oct 20, 2026

AS Roma 4, Slovan Bratislava 0

Slovan Bratislava at AS Roma: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSlovan Bratislava1 gameAS Roma1 game
Goals−1.41+1.41
Goals conceded+1.61−0.78
Expected goals−1.32+0.59
Expected goals conceded+1.28−0.97
Shots−11.5+4.4
Shots conceded+8.9−10.8
Points−0.88+0.72

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

AS Roma

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • AS Roma had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • In the Champions League, AS Roma’s expected goals were 0.73 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.75 over expected.
  • At home, AS Roma’s shots were 4.3 over expected in 5 games. A +8.7 difference in shots over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 5 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 6.9 over expected.
  • On the road, Slovan Bratislava’s expected goals conceded were 1.79 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.75 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 20, 2026at AS RomaAS Roma 4, Slovan Bratislava 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.