Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Slavia Prague @ Fenerbahce

Tue, Oct 20, 2026

Fenerbahce 2, Slavia Prague 2

Slavia Prague at Fenerbahce: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSlavia Prague1 gameFenerbahce1 game
Goals−0.13+0.05
Goals conceded+0.95+0.91
Expected goals+0.10−0.33
Expected goals conceded−0.25−0.52
Shots+1.6−3.0
Shots conceded+0.9−1.1
Points−0.56−1.28

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Fenerbahce

Slavia Prague

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

If you squint

  • At home, Fenerbahce’s expected goals conceded were 1.30 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.46 over expected.
  • On the road, Slavia Prague’s goals were 2.50 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.65 over expected.

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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