Bodo/Glimt @ Napoli

Tue, Oct 20, 2026

Napoli 4, Bodo/Glimt 3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bodo/Glimt’s shots conceded were 14.3 lower at home than away against expected over its last 75 games, 123rd of 123 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 3.6 over expected.

In the Champions League, Napoli’s expected goals conceded were 0.65 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.54 over expected.
At home, Napoli’s goals conceded were 0.91 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.97 over expected.
On the road, Bodo/Glimt’s goal difference were 3.82 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.05 under expected.

Date	Where	Score
Oct 20, 2026	at Napoli	Napoli 4, Bodo/Glimt 3

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 19, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.