Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

SC Freiburg @ Bayer Leverkusen

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen 2, SC Freiburg 1

SC Freiburg at Bayer Leverkusen: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSC Freiburg1 gameBayer Leverkusen1 game
Goals−0.70+0.48
Goals conceded−0.16−0.98
Expected goals−0.51+0.04
Expected goals conceded−0.72−0.65
Shots−2.0−0.7
Shots conceded−7.0−3.7
Points−1.29+1.88

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

SC Freiburg

  • SC Freiburg had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Bayer Leverkusen leads the series 20–7–10 since 2003-04. Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Bayer Leverkusen’s goal difference were 2.81 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.50 over expected.
  • On the road, SC Freiburg’s shots were 4.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 2, SC Freiburg 1
Mar 7, 2026at SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen 3, SC Freiburg 3
Oct 26, 2025at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 2, SC Freiburg 0
May 4, 2025at SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen 2, SC Freiburg 2
Dec 21, 2024at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 5, SC Freiburg 1
Mar 17, 2024at SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen 3, SC Freiburg 2
Oct 29, 2023at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 2, SC Freiburg 1
Feb 26, 2023at SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen 1, SC Freiburg 1
Sep 3, 2022at Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg 3, Bayer Leverkusen 2
May 14, 2022at Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen 2, SC Freiburg 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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