Putting Up Numbers· college football

UNLV’s pass attempts with Taeshaun Lyons and without Taeshaun Lyons

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UNLV was 0.2 pass attempts over with Taeshaun Lyons and 5.4 pass attempts under without Taeshaun Lyons in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 27.9 and 23.0, a difference of 4.9. All 4 away games were with Taeshaun Lyons. Both night games were with Taeshaun Lyons. All 4 conference games were with Taeshaun Lyons.

Taeshaun Lyons, receiver: 185 receiving yards, 16 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 6 games this season.

One game without Taeshaun Lyons is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Taeshaun Lyonswithout Taeshaun Lyons
UNLV’s games, 2026, each marked with Taeshaun Lyons or without Taeshaun Lyons
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsMemphisL3728.8
Sep 5, 2026@HawaiiW1829.3
Sep 12, 2026@North TexasL3230.2
Sep 26, 2026@AkronW2931.4
Oct 3, 2026vsCaliforniaW2328.4
Oct 10, 2026vsNNorth Dakota StateW16—
Oct 17, 2026@Air ForceL3329.7
Oct 31, 2026vsNorthern IllinoisW3028.6

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • North Dakota State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.