Putting Up Numbers· college football

South Carolina @ Oklahoma

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

South Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25Oklahoma was favored by 3.5, and South Carolina covered.

South Carolina at Oklahoma: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSouth Carolina1 gameOklahoma1 game
Points+22.4−4.3
Points allowed+1.2+13.3
Total offense, yards+220−23
Total defense, yards+6+118
Touchdowns+3.9−1.5
Passer rating+60.3−22.3
Third downs+24.7%+3.0%
Sacks+0.9−1.3
Penalty yards+33.8+18.3
Turnovers forced−1.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Oklahoma

South Carolina

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Oklahoma

  • Oklahoma was 4.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 111th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−20.5 against the line this game.

South Carolina

  • South Carolina was 1.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 55th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+20.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Oklahoma had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Oklahoma had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Oklahoma was 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Oklahoma’s penalty yards were 21.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.7 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Oklahoma’s points allowed were 9.9 under expected in 4 games. A −12.4 difference in points allowed over expected vs an unranked opponent and vs a ranked opponent is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs an unranked opponent and it comes up 10 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 16.7 over expected.
  • South Carolina had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • South Carolina had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against an unranked opponent, South Carolina’s third-down conversion rate were 13.5% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.7% over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at OklahomaSouth Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25
Oct 18, 2025at South CarolinaOklahoma 26, South Carolina 7
Oct 19, 2024at OklahomaSouth Carolina 35, Oklahoma 9

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.