Texas A&M @ Alabama

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Unranked at No. 13

Alabama 31, Texas A&M 20Alabama was favored by 13, and Texas A&M covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Alabama had beaten 10 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 11.
Alabama was 5.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 17th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−2.0 against the line this game.

Texas A&M was 4.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 114th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+2.0 against the line this game.

Alabama leads the series 14–3 since 1941. Alabama has won the last 3. Alabama has won 6 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

Alabama had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Alabama had covered 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Alabama was 4–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
In a conference game, Alabama’s points allowed were 6.1 under expected in 5 games. A −14.7 difference in points allowed over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 10 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 over expected.
Texas A&M had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
On the road, Texas A&M’s points were 15.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 over expected.
In a conference game, Texas A&M’s points were 7.5 under expected in 4 games. A −22.6 difference in points over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 16 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.