Putting Up Numbers· college football

Boise State @ Washington State

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · No. 21 at unranked

Boise State 31, Washington State 10Boise State was favored by 15, and Boise State covered.

Boise State at Washington State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBoise State1 gameWashington State1 game
Points+5.1−19.5
Points allowed−12.8+2.0
Total offense, yards+32−156
Total defense, yards−96+7
Touchdowns+1.0−2.3
Passer rating−3.6−56.8
Third downs+19.6%−1.7%
Sacks+1.3−1.5
Penalty yards+14.2−25.3
Turnovers forced−0.2−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Washington State

Boise State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Washington State

  • Washington State had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Washington State was 2.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 91st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−6.0 against the line this game.

Boise State

  • Boise State had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Boise State had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
  • Boise State had won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Boise State was 4.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 31st of 136.fact · rankedits form →+6.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Washington State leads the series 5–3 since 1997. Boise State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Washington State had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Washington State was 4–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Washington State’s third-down conversion rate were 34.6% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.6% over expected.
  • At home, Washington State’s rushing yards were 70.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 45.9 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Washington State’s penalty yards were 23.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 28.0 under expected.
  • Boise State was 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Boise State’s total yards were 72.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at Washington StateBoise State 31, Washington State 10
Sep 28, 2024at Boise StateBoise State 45, Washington State 24
Sep 9, 2017at Washington StateWashington State 47, Boise State 44
Sep 10, 2016at Boise StateBoise State 31, Washington State 28
Sep 8, 2001at Boise StateWashington State 41, Boise State 20
Oct 7, 2000at Washington StateWashington State 42, Boise State 35
Sep 12, 1998at Boise StateWashington State 33, Boise State 21
Sep 27, 1997at Washington StateWashington State 58, Boise State 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.