Putting Up Numbers· college football

Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion

Thu, Oct 15, 2026

Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15Georgia Southern was favored by 3, and Georgia Southern covered.

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameGeorgia Southern1 gameOld Dominion1 game
Points−3.8−11.6
Points allowed−5.5+2.1
Total offense, yards+57−114
Total defense, yards−48+43
Touchdowns−0.8−1.0
Passer rating+4.1+15.0
Third downs−11.1%−8.9%
Sacks+0.4−0.6
Penalty yards+60.8+41.1
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Old Dominion

Georgia Southern

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Old Dominion

  • Old Dominion was 10.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 132nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−5.0 against the line this game.

Georgia Southern

  • Georgia Southern was 3.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 44th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+5.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Old Dominion had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Old Dominion was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Old Dominion’s penalty yards were 37.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 41.2 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Old Dominion’s total yards were 93.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.3 under expected.
  • Georgia Southern had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Georgia Southern’s carries were 7.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 15, 2026at Old DominionGeorgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15
Nov 22, 2025at Georgia SouthernOld Dominion 45, Georgia Southern 10
Oct 24, 2024at Old DominionOld Dominion 47, Georgia Southern 19
Nov 18, 2023at Georgia SouthernOld Dominion 20, Georgia Southern 17
Oct 22, 2022at Old DominionGeorgia Southern 28, Old Dominion 23

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 14, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.