Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas A&M @ Missouri

Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Unranked at No. 15

Missouri 27, Texas A&M 6Missouri was favored by 4.5, and Missouri covered.

Texas A&M at Missouri: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTexas A&M1 gameMissouri1 game
Points−15.2+2.8
Points allowed−3.4−19.7
Total offense, yards−143+41
Total defense, yards−14−127
Touchdowns−2.50.0
Passer rating−53.9−43.4
Third downs−11.6%+1.2%
Sacks−1.4+1.1
Penalty yards−10.5−9.9
Turnovers forced−0.3+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.7−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Missouri

Texas A&M

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Missouri

  • Missouri had beaten 27 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 28.
  • Missouri had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Missouri was 2.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 54th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+16.5 against the line this game.

Texas A&M

  • Texas A&M was 2.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 87th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−16.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Missouri’s pass attempts were 9.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Missouri’s total yards were 122.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 35.7 over expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Missouri’s pass attempts were 7.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.2 over expected.
  • On the road, Texas A&M’s points were 14.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.9 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Texas A&M’s rushing yards were 35.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 98.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at MissouriMissouri 27, Texas A&M 6
Nov 8, 2025at MissouriTexas A&M 38, Missouri 17
Oct 5, 2024at Texas A&MTexas A&M 41, Missouri 10
Oct 16, 2021at MissouriTexas A&M 35, Missouri 14
Nov 15, 2014at Texas A&MMissouri 34, Texas A&M 27
Nov 30, 2013at MissouriMissouri 28, Texas A&M 21
Nov 24, 2012at Texas A&MTexas A&M 59, Missouri 29
Oct 29, 2011at Texas A&MMissouri 38, Texas A&M 31
Oct 16, 2010at Texas A&MMissouri 30, Texas A&M 9
Nov 10, 2007at MissouriMissouri 40, Texas A&M 26

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.