South Carolina @ 
Florida
South Carolina 38, Florida 19Florida was favored by 10.5, and South Carolina covered.
| a game | South Carolina1 game | Florida1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +12.3 | −10.9 |
| Points allowed | −15.1 | +8.9 |
| Total offense, yards | +24 | +7 |
| Total defense, yards | −32 | −19 |
| Touchdowns | +2.0 | −1.5 |
| Passer rating | +34.5 | −9.7 |
| Third downs | +23.3% | +5.5% |
| Sacks | +1.2 | +0.9 |
| Penalty yards | −2.8 | −27.4 |
| Turnovers forced | +1.8 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.3 | +1.9 |
Who put up numbers
Florida
- Passing yardsAaron Philo227 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsAaron Philo1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsJadan Baugh59 rushing yards
South Carolina
Analysis
Florida
- Florida had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Florida had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Florida was 1.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 61st of 136, and 17.0 better at home than away over its last 25, 2nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−29.5 against the line this game.
South Carolina
- South Carolina had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- South Carolina was 3.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+29.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Florida leads the series 31–11–3 since 1911.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Florida was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, Florida’s penalty yards were 42.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 32.5 under expected.
- At home, Florida’s points were 23.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.8 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Florida’s points were 20.5 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.8 under expected.
- South Carolina had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- South Carolina had covered 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- On the road, South Carolina’s third-down conversion rate were 21.9% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.8% over expected.
- In a conference game, South Carolina’s points allowed were 12.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 19.8 under expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, South Carolina’s points of margin were 16.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.3 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | at Florida | South Carolina 38, Florida 19 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | at South Carolina | Florida 41, South Carolina 39 |
| Nov 12, 2022 | at Florida | Florida 38, South Carolina 6 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | at South Carolina | South Carolina 40, Florida 17 |
| Oct 3, 2020 | at Florida | Florida 38, South Carolina 24 |
| Oct 19, 2019 | at South Carolina | Florida 38, South Carolina 27 |
| Nov 10, 2018 | at Florida | Florida 35, South Carolina 31 |
| Nov 11, 2017 | at South Carolina | South Carolina 28, Florida 20 |
| Nov 12, 2016 | at Florida | Florida 20, South Carolina 7 |
| Nov 14, 2015 | at South Carolina | Florida 24, South Carolina 14 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.