Putting Up Numbers· college football

Old Dominion @ Appalachian State

Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Old Dominion 10, Appalachian State 3Appalachian State was favored by 9, and Old Dominion covered.

Old Dominion at Appalachian State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameOld Dominion1 gameAppalachian State1 game
Points−14.1−30.2
Points allowed−26.2−6.6
Total offense, yards−67−237
Total defense, yards−249+35
Touchdowns−1.9−3.4
Passer rating−62.0−111.8
Third downs−1.4%−31.2%
Sacks+0.2−0.9
Penalty yards−24.0−11.0
Turnovers forced+1.8+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8+1.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Appalachian State

Old Dominion

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Appalachian State

  • Appalachian State was 8.0 points a game over the closing line this season, 17th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−16.0 against the line this game.

Old Dominion

  • Old Dominion had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Old Dominion had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • Old Dominion was 16.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+16.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • Appalachian State leads the series 4–3 since 2015. Old Dominion has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Appalachian State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Appalachian State’s penalty yards were 47.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.7 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Old Dominion’s rushing yards were 108.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 118.7 over expected.
  • On the road, Old Dominion’s penalty yards were 13.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 28.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 10, 2026at Appalachian StateOld Dominion 10, Appalachian State 3
Oct 25, 2025at Old DominionOld Dominion 24, Appalachian State 21
Nov 2, 2024at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 28, Old Dominion 20
Oct 21, 2023at Old DominionOld Dominion 28, Appalachian State 21
Nov 19, 2022at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 27, Old Dominion 14
Sep 10, 2016at Appalachian StateAppalachian State 31, Old Dominion 7
Sep 26, 2015at Old DominionAppalachian State 49, Old Dominion 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 9, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.