Putting Up Numbers· college football

Washington State @ Utah State

Fri, Oct 9, 2026

Utah State 17, Washington State 16Utah State was favored by 4, and Washington State covered.

Washington State at Utah State: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWashington State1 gameUtah State1 game
Points−7.0−14.7
Points allowed−3.8−2.1
Total offense, yards−97−185
Total defense, yards−120−51
Touchdowns−1.3−1.7
Passer rating−32.4−36.2
Third downs−14.6%−21.1%
Sacks−0.30.0
Penalty yards+59.0+30.1
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Utah State

Washington State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Utah State

  • Utah State was 0.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 71st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−3.0 against the line this game.

Washington State

  • Washington State was 3.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 97th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.0 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • Utah State had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Utah State had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Utah State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Utah State’s penalty yards were 54.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 27.9 over expected.
  • In a conference game, Utah State’s rushing yards were 88.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 100.3 under expected.
  • Washington State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At night, Washington State’s total yards were 214.3 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.9 under expected.
  • On the road, Washington State’s pass attempts were 9.8 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 under expected.
  • Against an unranked opponent, Washington State’s third-down conversion rate were 12.9% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.6% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 9, 2026at Utah StateUtah State 17, Washington State 16
Dec 22, 2025neutralWashington State 34, Utah State 21
Nov 9, 2024at Washington StateWashington State 49, Utah State 28
Sep 4, 2021at Washington StateUtah State 26, Washington State 23
Sep 30, 1961at Washington StateUtah State 34, Washington State 14
Sep 23, 1950at Utah StateWashington State 46, Utah State 6
Sep 17, 1949at Washington StateWashington State 33, Utah State 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 8, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.