Kentucky @ 
South Carolina
Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34South Carolina was favored by 2.5, and Kentucky covered.
| a game | Kentucky1 game | South Carolina1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +11.2 | +5.9 |
| Points allowed | +0.3 | +8.6 |
| Total offense, yards | +43 | +78 |
| Total defense, yards | +18 | +38 |
| Touchdowns | +1.2 | +0.8 |
| Passer rating | +8.8 | −8.7 |
| Third downs | −11.3% | +6.9% |
| Sacks | −1.1 | +0.8 |
| Penalty yards | −19.3 | +6.6 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | +0.6 |
Who put up numbers
South Carolina
- Passing yardsLaNorris Sellers226 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsLaNorris Sellers2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsLaNorris Sellers147 rushing yards
Kentucky
Analysis
South Carolina
- South Carolina was 4.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 96th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−3.5 against the line this game.
Kentucky
- Kentucky’s passing yards were 87.3 higher vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 77 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 60.9 over expected.
- Kentucky was 5.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 35th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+3.5 against the line this game.
The series
- South Carolina leads the series 22–14–1 since 1937.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- South Carolina had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against a ranked opponent, South Carolina’s third-down conversion rate were 21.9% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3% over expected.
- In a conference game, South Carolina’s third-down conversion rate were 19.3% under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3% over expected.
- At home, South Carolina’s third-down conversion rate were 13.6% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3% over expected.
- Kentucky had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Against an unranked opponent, Kentucky’s rushing yards were 212.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.6 under expected.
- On the road, Kentucky’s passing yards were 83.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 60.9 over expected.
- In a conference game, Kentucky’s rushing yards were 42.4 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 29.6 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | at South Carolina | Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | at South Carolina | South Carolina 35, Kentucky 13 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | at Kentucky | South Carolina 31, Kentucky 6 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | at South Carolina | South Carolina 17, Kentucky 14 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | at Kentucky | South Carolina 24, Kentucky 14 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | at Kentucky | Kentucky 41, South Carolina 18 |
| Sep 28, 2019 | at South Carolina | South Carolina 24, Kentucky 7 |
| Sep 29, 2018 | at Kentucky | Kentucky 24, South Carolina 10 |
| Sep 16, 2017 | at South Carolina | Kentucky 23, South Carolina 13 |
| Sep 24, 2016 | at Kentucky | Kentucky 17, South Carolina 10 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 2, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.